As of 2026-04-03, the Intrinsic Value of BHP Group Ltd (BHP.AX) is 39.74 AUD. This BHP.AX valuation is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (Growth Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 51.23 AUD, the upside of BHP Group Ltd is -22.40%.
The range of the Intrinsic Value is 30.54 - 57.10 AUD
Based on its market price of 51.23 AUD and our intrinsic valuation, BHP Group Ltd (BHP.AX) is overvalued by 22.40%.
| Range | Selected | Upside | |
| a | |||
| DCF (Growth 5y) | 30.54 - 57.10 | 39.74 | -22.4% |
| DCF (Growth 10y) | 33.75 - 59.16 | 42.67 | -16.7% |
| DCF (EBITDA 5y) | 33.13 - 58.00 | 43.12 | -15.8% |
| DCF (EBITDA 10y) | 35.71 - 60.31 | 45.43 | -11.3% |
| Fair Value | 73.35 - 73.35 | 73.35 | 43.18% |
| P/E | 48.97 - 58.86 | 52.99 | 3.4% |
| EV/EBITDA | 30.33 - 56.48 | 41.91 | -18.2% |
| EPV | 32.94 - 46.01 | 39.48 | -22.9% |
| DDM - Stable | 17.38 - 40.94 | 29.16 | -43.1% |
| DDM - Multi | 26.54 - 46.41 | 33.58 | -34.5% |
| Market Cap (mil) | 260,192.56 |
| Beta | 0.04 |
| Outstanding shares (mil) | 5,078.91 |
| Enterprise Value (mil) | 281,367.20 |
| Market risk premium | 5.10% |
| Cost of Equity | 11.13% |
| Cost of Debt | 5.36% |
| WACC | 10.18% |